Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
SolarUnie Stadion

Helmond
1 - 2
MVV

Kaars (29')
Ostrc (67'), Marin (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slegers (79'), Rocha (90+2')
El Basri (31')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 3-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 4-0 Jong AZ
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Helmond SportDrawMVV Maastricht
48.95% (0.207 0.21)23.41% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)27.64% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 59.48% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (0.11600000000001 0.12)41.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (0.118 0.12)64.12% (-0.12 -0.12)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (0.121 0.12)17.22% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (0.214 0.21)47.52% (-0.217 -0.22)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)28.14% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)63.82% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 48.95%
    MVV Maastricht 27.64%
    Draw 23.41%
Helmond SportDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.64%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Van Keilegom (51')
Kostons (33'), Blummel (69')
Nov 4, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
MVV
4-0
Helmond
Van Bommel (23'), Souren (37'), Lorentzen (51' og.), Van der Meer (85' og.)
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Seys (42')
Lion (27'), De Bie (36')
Keulen (52'), Dzepar (67')
Dzepar (54')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
MVV
3-2
Helmond
Ntelo (10', 19', 76')
Ntelo (81')
Goselink (36', 70')
Bosiers (41'), van der Meer (68')
Jan 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
MVV
1-1
Helmond
Schroyen (10' pen.)
Duijvestijn (67')
Duijvestijn (81')