Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Helmond Sport
73.39% ( -0.46)	16.28% ( 0.23)	10.33% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56% (

-0.44)

37.43% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34% (

-0.48)

59.65% (

0.47)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.19% (

-0.21)

8.8% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.8% (

-0.52)

30.19% (

0.52)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.92% (

0.13)

45.08% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19% (

0.11)

80.99% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Willem II 73.39%

Helmond Sport 10.33%

Draw 16.28%

Willem II	Draw	Helmond Sport
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 73.39%	1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 16.28%	0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 10.33%