Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Willem II in this match.