Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-3 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Willem II
12.38% ( 0.36)	16.83% ( 0.74)	70.79% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 55.53% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.89% (

-2.77)

34.1% (

2.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.01% (

-3.2)

55.98% (

3.2)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.72% (

-1.34)

39.28% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.01% (

-1.27)

75.98% (

1.28)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.44% (

-0.91)

8.55% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.41% (

-2.29)

29.59% (

2.3)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 12.38%

Willem II 70.79%

Draw 16.83%

Jong PSV	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 12.38%	1-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.83%	0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 8.32% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 5.12% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 4.78% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 2.52% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 2.35% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.25) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.18) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 70.79%