Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.