Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30

Mar 17, 2024 at 11.15am UK

De Geusselt

MVV
0 - 3
Roda JC

Zeegers (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van der Heide (11', 66'), Sejk (57')
Beerten (8'), Pena Zauner (73')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 3-0 MVV
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Roda JC

All competitions

Last Game: Roda JC 2-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Roda JC
30.76% ( -0.38)	22.65% ( 0.08)	46.59% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 64.46% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.89% (

-0.58)

36.11% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.78% (

-0.64)

58.22% (

0.64)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

-0.5)

23.29% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77% (

-0.74)

57.23% (

0.75)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

-0.11)

15.97% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.73% (

-0.2)

45.27% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 30.76%

Roda JC 46.59%

Draw 22.65%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.59%