MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 09:12:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Toekomst
Jong Ajax
3 - 0
MVV
Rijkhoff (18', 31'), Chourak (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong Ajax
Monday, February 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 6-1 Telstar
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 3-1 (6.43%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
52.81% (-0.752 -0.75) 21.15% (0.216 0.22) 26.03% (0.536 0.54)
Both teams to score 66.22% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.76% (-0.554 -0.55)32.23% (0.555 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.16% (-0.648 -0.65)53.84% (0.649 0.65)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (-0.40400000000001 -0.4)12.53% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)38.55% (0.848 0.85)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (0.067999999999998 0.07)24.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (0.097000000000001 0.1)58.67% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 52.81%
    MVV Maastricht 26.03%
    Draw 21.15%
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 52.81%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.115 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.136 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs MVV

Jong Ajax
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
MVV Maastricht
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
MVV
2-1
Jong Ajax
Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
4-2
MVV
Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 37
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II27176455253057
2Roda JC27158447222553
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag27148556332350
4De GraafschapDe Graafschap2714494035546
5Groningen26136743222145
6Dordrecht26111054940943
7Cambuur27116106054639
8Jong AZJong AZ2611693839-139
9VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2710894244-238
10NAC BredaNAC Breda2610794438637
11MVV MaastrichtMVV27107104843537
12EmmenEmmen26106103740-336
13Helmond SportHelmond2797114042-234
14FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven2771283439-533
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax2679104146-530
16Jong PSVJong PSV2667134056-1625
17Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2658132446-2223
18TelstarTelstar2655162548-2320
19Den BoschDen Bosch2748152447-2320
20TOP OssOss2662181846-2820

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