Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.