Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.