Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.