Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Groningen
22.75% ( -0.13)	21.84% ( -0.04)	55.41% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 59.69% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.91% (

0.03)

39.09% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.59% (

0.03)

61.41% (

-0.03)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-0.09)

30.55% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

-0.11)

66.77% (

0.11)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

0.06)

14.06% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.36% (

0.13)

41.63% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 22.75%

Groningen 55.41%

Draw 21.84%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 22.75%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.84%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.41%