Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.