Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.