Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.