Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.