Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 78.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 7.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	MVV Maastricht
78.5% ( -0.22)	13.65% ( 0.15)	7.85% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.13% (

-0.52)

32.87% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.43% (

-0.6)

54.57% (

0.61)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.32% (

-0.15)

6.68% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.25% (

-0.41)

24.75% (

0.42)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84% (

-0.21)

47.16% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.39% (

-0.16)

82.61% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Groningen 78.5%

MVV Maastricht 7.85%

Draw 13.65%

Groningen	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 78.5%	1-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.84% Total : 13.65%	1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 7.85%