Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	Emmen
34.72% ( 0.09)	23.42% ( -0.05)	41.86% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 63.25% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.62% (

0.27)

38.38% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.33% (

0.29)

60.66% (

-0.29)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

0.17)

22.15% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

0.26)

55.53% (

-0.26)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

0.09)

18.75% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.87% (

0.16)

50.13% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 34.72%

Emmen 41.86%

Draw 23.41%

Jong AZ	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 41.86%