Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 1
Willem II

Talvitie (33')
Roosken (57'), Engels (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bosch (37')
Bosch (62'), Thor Sigurgeirsson (74'), Lachkar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 PSV
Sunday, August 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Willem II 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, August 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Willem II
31.84% ( -0.01)	23.55% ( -0.1)	44.61% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 61.69% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01% (

0.49)

39.99% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

0.5)

62.36% (

-0.5)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

0.23)

24.54% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99% (

0.32)

59.01% (

-0.31)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

0.25)

18.25% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

0.41)

49.3% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Heracles 31.84%

Willem II 44.61%

Draw 23.55%

Heracles	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.84%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.65% Total : 44.61%