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[monks data]
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
Willem II
Heracles
3 - 2
Willem II
Vloet (41' pen.), Burgzorg (53'), Azzaoui (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kohlert (66'), Svensson (77')
Wellenreuther (55'), Nunnely (81')

Preview: Heracles vs. Willem II - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In-form Willem II visit the Erve Asito on Saturday for their meeting against Heracles looking to record a fourth triumph on the bounce.

Meanwhile, the hosts will aim to continue their good streak on home turf where they have come out on top in each of the last two matches.


Match preview

Fred Grim, now in charge of RKC Waalwijk, pictured in 2017© Reuters

Willem II picked up a third consecutive 2-1 victory in the space of seven days when they saw off the challenge of PSV Eindhoven on Saturday.

Eran Zahavi scored at both ends in the first half to leave the scores level going into the interval, before Che Nunnely got the all-important goal midway through the second period.

Since an opening-day 4-0 loss to Feyenoord, Fred Grim's men are unbeaten in the subsequent six matches, winning five of them and amassing 16 of a possible 18 points.

Following that fine run, Saturday's visitors are just three points adrift of league leaders Ajax at the top of the Eredivisie standings.

Lying in store next for them is a tricky tie against an opposing side who have both won and lost five games apiece in the last 10 meetings between the teams.

Heracles returning to winning ways last time out with a second victory in three games when they narrowly defeated RKC Waalwijk 1-0 on Sunday.

With the scores level at half time, Delano Burgzorg popped up with the winning goal just shy of the hour mark to hand Frank Wormuth's men all three points.

With seven points from their six matches so far, the Heraclieden currently occupy 11th position on the log and are just three points off the top half.

Only four teams have conceded fewer goals this term than Saturday's hosts who also have the joint second-worst attacking record, which is an area that needs strengthening going forward.

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Heracles form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Willem II Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Wesley Spieringhs and Freek Heerkens continue to battle with knee injuries and are both unavailable for their side's trip to Almelo this weekend.

Leeroy Owusu is ruled out with appendicitis, while first choice goalkeeper Robbin Ruiter remains without an appearance since the opening day due to injury.

Twenty-seven-year-old Kwasi Okyere Wriedt has scored in two of his three games away from home this term, making him one to keep an eye on.

Danish midfielder Kasper Jakobsen will not feature as he is yet to recover from a knee injury through which he has missed the last five matches.

Sinan Bakis and Rai Vloet were on song the last time Saturday's opponents faced off, and the duo are expected to line up in attack for the hosts.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Quagliata, Knoester, Rente, Fadiga; De La Torre, Schoofs, Vloet; Basacikoglu, Burgzorg, Bakis

Willem II possible starting lineup:
Wellenreuther; Schippers, Jenssen, Michelis, Kohn; Saglam, Saddiki, Llonch; Kohlert, Okyere Wriedt, Nunnely


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 1-1 Willem II

Willem II are the more in-form team coming into the contest, and the onus will be more on them to take the fight to their hosts. However, Heracles have been solid in front of their fans of late, and we expect them to secure a point in what should be a keenly-contested affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Heracles vs Willem II

Heracles
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Willem II
66.7%
27
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV26233081136872
2Feyenoord26195266214562
3FC Twente26165549252453
4AZ AlkmaarAZ26147553233049
5Ajax26118757471041
6NECNijmegen26109750401039
7Go Ahead Eagles2610793835337
8FC UtrechtUtrecht269983133-236
9Fortuna SittardSittard2697103344-1134
10Sparta RotterdamSparta2687113338-531
11Heerenveen2694134249-731
12Almere CityAlmere City2679102643-1730
13PEC Zwolle2677123447-1328
14Heracles2675143358-2526
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior26410123957-1822
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2664162443-1922
17Vitesse2645172153-3217
18FC VolendamVolendam2635182667-4114

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