Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 3
PSV

De Keersmaecker (5' pen.)
van de Looi (54'), Milani (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mesik (52' og.), Bakayoko (59'), Driouech (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 0-0 Heracles
Sunday, August 11 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 5-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
8.1% ( -0.59)	12.77% ( -0.4)	79.12% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.1% (

-0.15)

26.9% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.63% (

-0.19)

47.36% (

0.19)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04% (

-1.41)

41.96% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6% (

-1.25)

78.4% (

1.25)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.66% (

0.14)

5.33% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.02% (

0.39)

20.97% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Heracles 8.1%

PSV Eindhoven 79.12%

Draw 12.77%

Heracles	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.63% Total : 8.1%	1-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77%	0-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 9.39% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 6.88% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 1-6 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.31% Total : 79.12%