/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
-
Brian De Keersmaecker
5'
-
Erwin van de Looi
54'
-
Lorenzo Milani
87'
-
Ivan Mesik
52'
(OG)
-
Johan Bakayoko
59'
-
Couhaib Driouech
90'
Heracles vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Fpeter-bosz.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
Heracles
8.1%
▼
(-0.59)
Draw
12.77%
▼
(-0.40)
PSV Eindhoven
79.12%
▲
(+0.99)
Both Teams to Score:
54.94%
▼
(-1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.1%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
26.9%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
52.63%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
47.36%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
33.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
66.8%
▲
(+0.19)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
58.04%
▼
(-1.42)
Under 0.5
41.96%
▲
(+1.42)
Over 1.5
21.6%
▼
(-1.25)
Under 1.5
78.4%
▲
(+1.26)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
94.66%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
5.33%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
79.02%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
20.97%
▼
(-0.40)
Score analysis
Heracles
8.1%
Draw
12.77%
PSV Eindhoven
79.12%
Heracles
2-1
@
2.48%
▼
(-0.16)
1-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 8.1%
1-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 8.1%
Draw
1-1
@
5.7%
▼
(-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.77%
2-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.77%
PSV Eindhoven
0-2
@
9.62%
▲
(+0.26)
0-3 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.30)
0-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.16)
1-5 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.09)
0-6 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.12)
1-6 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 79.12%
0-3 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.30)
0-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.16)
1-5 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.09)
0-6 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.12)
1-6 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 79.12%
Bryan Limbombe
13'