Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.7%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 6.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Eindhoven
81.7% ( 0.05)	11.47% ( -0.03)	6.83% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.93% (

0.04)

25.06% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.99% (

0.06)

45% (

-0.06)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.42% (

0.01)

4.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.32% (

0.05)

18.68% (

-0.05)

FC Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.44% (

-0.02)

43.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.24% (

-0.02)

79.76% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 81.7%

FC Eindhoven 6.83%

Draw 11.47%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Eindhoven
3-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.6% 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 5.11% Total : 81.7%	1-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.47%	1-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.83%