Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.