Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Groningen
19.44% ( 0.05)	20.9% ( 0.04)	59.65% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

-0.1)

39.21% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

-0.11)

61.54% (

0.11)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

-0)

33.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.65% (

-0.01)

70.35% (

0.01)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18% (

-0.06)

12.82% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.86% (

-0.12)

39.14% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 19.44%

Groningen 59.65%

Draw 20.9%

Jong PSV	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.44%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 59.65%