Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.