Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.