Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 8pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 2
Sparta

Sandra (84')
Bosch (27')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clement (48'), Neghli (89')
Reith (55'), van der Kust (69'), Kitolano (77'), Meissen (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Willem II
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
37.29% ( -0.04)	23.78% ( -0.01)	38.92% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 62.29% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.2% (

0.07)

39.8% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.84% (

0.07)

62.16% (

-0.07)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

0.01)

21.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

0.02)

54.5% (

-0.01)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

0.05)

20.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

0.09)

53.27% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Willem II 37.29%

Sparta Rotterdam 38.92%

Draw 23.78%

Willem II	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.92%