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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Heerenveen

Sparta
2 - 1
Heerenveen

Neghli (57'), Lauritsen (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bochniewicz (90+1')
Braude (59'), Kohlert (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Heerenveen

While Sparta should secure the final Conference League playoff spot for the season, they are only two goals and three points ahead of Go Ahead Eagles and will want to avoid a nervy ending to the campaign. The hosts have been solid over the last four gameweeks, and we feel they will end the term with a narrow home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen
43.48% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.22% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 63.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2%37.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95%60.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)48.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 43.48%
    Heerenveen 33.3%
    Draw 23.22%
Sparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Sparta vs Heerenveen

Sparta Rotterdam
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Heerenveen
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 3
Heerenveen
1-3
Sparta
Bochniewicz (71')
Haye (90+4')
Lauritsen (34'), Saito (53', 62')
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Sparta
4-0
Heerenveen
Pinto (39'), Namli (51'), Sambo (67'), Van Crooij (76')
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
Apr 3, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Sparta
1-1
Heerenveen
Van Crooij (52' pen.)
Sarr (67')
Dec 11, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Heerenveen
0-0
Sparta
Bakker (34'), Kaib (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Netherlands Netherlands21104
Q France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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