Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.