Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NAC Breda
59.33% ( 1.46)	21.12% ( -0.44)	19.55% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 57.23% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

0.53)

40.05% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.58% (

0.55)

62.41% (

-0.55)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.82% (

0.61)

13.18% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.11% (

1.23)

39.88% (

-1.23)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

-0.71)

34.08% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.77)

70.77% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 59.33%

NAC Breda 19.55%

Draw 21.12%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.49% Total : 59.33%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.12%	1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.55%