Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
2 - 1
FC Twente

(Red Bull Salzburg win 5-4 on aggregate)

Kjaergaard (41', 85')
Gourna-Douath (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlap (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League qualifier between Red Bull Salzburg and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Last Game: Grazer 2-3 Salzburg
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 0-0 FC Twente
Wednesday, July 24 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	FC Twente
47.77% ( 0.01)	22.16%	30.08% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 65.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.91% (

-0.02)

34.09% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.03% (

-0.02)

55.97% (

0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.2% (

-0.01)

14.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.93% (

-0.01)

43.07% (

-0)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0.02)

22.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64% (

-0.03)

56.36% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 47.77%

FC Twente 30.08%

Draw 22.16%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.08%