Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Merkur Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Grazer
2 - 3
Salzburg

Lang (10'), Vucic (18')
Italiano (78'), Zaizen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rosenberger (4' og.), Dorgeles (6'), Konate (45+2' pen.)
Gourna-Douath (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Austrian Bundesliga clash between Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grazer AK

All competitions
Last Game: Grazer 1-5 Besiktas
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Grazer AK had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Grazer AK win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Grazer AKDrawRed Bull Salzburg
13.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01)17.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)69.23% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.13% (-0.012 -0.01)32.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.42% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)54.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Grazer AK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.48% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)8.58% (0.0089000000000006 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.34% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.66% (0.02 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grazer AK 13.57%
    Red Bull Salzburg 69.23%
    Draw 17.2%
Grazer AKDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.59%
2-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 13.57%
1-1 @ 7.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.2%
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.49%
1-3 @ 7.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 7.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 4.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.91%
2-4 @ 2.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-5 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
0-6 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 69.23%

How you voted: Grazer vs Salzburg

Grazer AK
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Red Bull Salzburg
88.2%
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