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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 33.7% ( | 24.6% ( | 41.7% |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.64% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( | 60.32% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% | 21.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( | 54.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.7% |