Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
2 - 1
Ajax

Garbett (58'), Van den Bergh (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hato (63')
Mannsverk (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Groningen 4-1 NAC Breda
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Panathinaikos (12-12 pen.)
Thursday, August 15 at 7.15pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Ajax
27.42% ( -2.79)	21.94% ( 0.13)	50.64% ( 2.66)

Both teams to score 64.59% (

-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.09% (

-2.61)

34.91% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.11% (

-2.97)

56.89% (

2.98)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

-3.04)

24.77% (

3.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66% (

-4.44)

59.34% (

4.45)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

-0.07)

14.13% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21% (

-0.14)

41.79% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 27.42%

Ajax 50.64%

Draw 21.94%

NAC Breda	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.42%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.82) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.64%