Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
2 - 1
FC Twente

Toornstra (14'), Bozdogan (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lammers (11')
Bruns (19'), Taha (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	FC Twente
43.93% ( 1.06)	24.53% ( 0.06)	31.54% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 58.06% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

-0.68)

44.68% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-0.66)

67.05% (

0.66)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.19)

20.45% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09% (

0.31)

52.91% (

-0.31)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

-1.03)

27.01% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

-1.36)

62.37% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 43.93%

FC Twente 31.54%

Draw 24.52%

FC Utrecht	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.54%