Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Aug 24, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 7
PSV

Hansen (57')
Balboa (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Til (10'), de Jong (15'), Driouech (65'), Tillman (71'), Barbet (78' og.), Lozano (83'), Pepi (90')
Til (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 3-0 Almere City
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 PSV
Sunday, August 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
3.53% ( -1.49)	8.33% ( -1.73)	88.13% ( 3.21)

Both teams to score 42.69% (

-4.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.66% (

0.93)

25.34% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.63% (

1.19)

45.36% (

-1.2)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.3% (

-5.5)

55.7% (

5.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.7% (

-3.5)

88.29% (

3.49)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.35% (

0.64)

3.64% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.29% (

2.08)

15.7% (

-2.09)

Score Analysis

Almere City 3.53%

PSV Eindhoven 88.11%

Draw 8.33%

Almere City	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.46) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.53%	1-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.63) Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.33%	0-3 @ 12.28% ( 1.08) 0-2 @ 11.12% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 10.17% ( 1.35) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.53) 0-5 @ 6.74% ( 1.19) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.84) 1-4 @ 5.96% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 0-6 @ 3.72% ( 0.81) 1-6 @ 2.18% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.56) 0-7 @ 1.76% ( 0.45) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.35) 2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.17) 1-7 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.77% Total : 88.11%