Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
| 55.5% ( | 22.85% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( | 16.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( | 45.43% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( | 34.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( | 71.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.65% |