Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.