Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.