Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
4 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Weghorst (36'), Promel (58'), Kabak (66'), Stach (90+1')
Kabak (49'), Matarazzo (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hack (39', 78', 89')
Itakura (75'), Cvancara (82'), Weigl (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
49.33% ( 0.12)	21.06% ( -0.02)	29.61% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 69.77% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.11% (

0.05)

28.89% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.15% (

0.05)

49.85% (

-0.05)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

0.05)

12.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.72% (

0.1)

38.28% (

-0.1)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

-0.03)

20.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

-0.05)

52.76% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 49.33%

Borussia Monchengladbach 29.61%

Draw 21.06%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.33%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.57% 0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.06%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.61%