DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Naifi (11'), Brunker (90+3')
Sontheimer (31'), Naifi (53'), Brunker (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hack (8')
Elvedi (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saarbrucken win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saarbrucken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Saarbrucken in this match.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
39.48% (0.062999999999995 0.06)22.24% (-0.055 -0.05)38.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.41% (0.22800000000001 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.11% (0.294 0.29)31.89% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.56% (0.341 0.34)53.43% (-0.341 -0.34)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (0.152 0.15)17.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (0.268 0.27)47.18% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (0.125 0.13)17.54% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (0.21599999999999 0.22)48.07% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 39.48%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 38.28%
    Draw 22.24%
SaarbruckenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 39.48%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.43% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 38.28%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Borussia M'bach

Saarbrucken
33.5%
Draw
11.2%
Borussia Monchengladbach
55.3%
161