Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.