Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Nijmegen

de Jong (11' pen.), Til (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Proper (75')
Sano (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NEC
73.68% ( 0.01)	14.96% ( -0.01)	11.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.66% (

0.03)

27.34% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.09% (

0.03)

47.91% (

-0.04)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.63% (

6.37% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.1% (

0.02)

23.9% (

-0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

0.01)

36.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11% (

0.01)

72.89% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 73.68%

NEC 11.36%

Draw 14.96%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 73.68%	1-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.96%	1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.36%