Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 7pm UK

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

AZ
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Mijnans (16')
Moller Wolfe (22'), Bazoer (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoedemakers (15'), Marquez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 0-1 AZ
Saturday, August 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, August 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
60.58% ( -1.99)	19.73% ( 0.46)	19.68% ( 1.53)

Both teams to score 62.6% (

1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.82% (

0.32)

33.17% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.07% (

0.36)

54.92% (

-0.37)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29% (

-0.41)

10.71% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.37% (

-0.91)

34.63% (

0.91)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

1.7)

29.89% (

-1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

2.01)

65.99% (

-2.01)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.58%

NEC 19.68%

Draw 19.73%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.58%	1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.73%	1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.68%