Eredivisie
Gameweek
2
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
-
Sven Mijnans
16'
-
David Moller Wolfe
22'
-
Riechedly Bazoer
90'+9'
-
Mees Hoedemakers
15'
-
Ivan Marquez
90'+5'
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
60.58%
▼
(-1.99)
Draw
19.73%
▲
(+0.46)
NEC
19.68%
▲
(+1.53)
Both Teams to Score:
62.6%
▲
(+1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.82%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 2.5
33.17%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 3.5
45.07%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
54.92%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 4.5
26.36%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 4.5
73.64%
▼
(-0.32)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
89.29%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
10.71%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
65.37%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 1.5
34.63%
▲
(+0.92)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
70.1%
▲
(+1.71)
Under 0.5
29.89%
▼
(-1.71)
Over 1.5
34%
▲
(+2.01)
Under 1.5
65.99%
▼
(-2.02)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
60.58%
Draw
19.73%
NEC
19.68%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.65%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.30)
4-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.17)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 60.58%
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.30)
4-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.17)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 60.58%
Draw
1-1
@
8.64%
▲
(+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.73%
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.73%
NEC
1-2
@
5.21%
▲
(+0.31)
0-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 19.68%
0-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 19.68%