Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Atalanta BC
53.54% ( -0.2)	23.21% ( -0)	23.25% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.24% (

0.24)

44.76% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

0.23)

67.12% (

-0.22)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

0.01)

16.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47% (

0.02)

46.54% (

-0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

0.31)

33.25% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14% (

0.35)

69.86% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 53.54%

Atalanta BC 23.25%

Draw 23.21%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.25%