AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Sportpark Over het Lange Water

AZ
3 - 0
Kortrijk

Parrott (14'), Sadiq (60'), Maikuma (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between AZ Alkmaar and Kortrijk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-3 Utrecht
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Kortrijk
Saturday, July 13 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.45%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawKortrijk
78.45% (0.518 0.52)13.05% (-0.28 -0.28)8.5% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.13% (0.639 0.64)26.87% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.67% (0.806 0.81)47.33% (-0.81 -0.81)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.56% (0.21600000000001 0.22)5.44% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.71% (0.63 0.63)21.28% (-0.634 -0.63)
Kortrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.45%
    Kortrijk 8.5%
    Draw 13.05%
AZ AlkmaarDrawKortrijk
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 9.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 8.18% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.69% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 5.95% (0.089 0.09)
5-0 @ 3.89% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 3.47% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.65% (0.04 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.89% (0.079 0.08)
6-1 @ 1.68% (0.07 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.54% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 5.29%
Total : 78.45%
1-1 @ 5.79% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 13.05%
1-2 @ 2.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 1.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 8.5%