Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.45%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.