Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Guldensporenstadion

Kortrijk
1 - 0
Eupen

Silva (45+10')
Sissako (14'), Boris (45+5'), Filin (68'), Pirard (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emond (16'), Davies (45+5'), Mehssatou (81'), Youndje (81')
Boris (29')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Kortrijk and Eupen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kortrijk

All competitions
Last Game: RWDM 0-1 Kortrijk
Sunday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Eupen 1-2 Charleroi
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kortrijk in this match.

Result
KortrijkDrawEupen
38.93% (0.766 0.77)26% (-0.221 -0.22)35.07% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.888 0.89)50.29% (-0.88500000000001 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.782 0.78)72.24% (-0.78 -0.78)
Kortrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.828 0.83)25.34% (-0.824 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (1.122 1.12)60.13% (-1.119 -1.12)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.099999999999994 0.1)27.54% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.127 0.13)63.06% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Kortrijk 38.93%
    Eupen 35.07%
    Draw 26%
KortrijkDrawEupen
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.93%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.07%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Eupen
1-1
Kortrijk
Charles-Cook (80')
Keita (28')
Davies (50')
Kana (55'), Ojo (65')
Dec 2, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 16
Eupen
1-1
Kortrijk
Palsson (69')
Kral (33')
Vandenberghe (90+3')
Kana (15')
Aug 20, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 4
Kortrijk
1-3
Eupen
Kadri (66')
Wasinski (49'), Audoor (54'), Malinov (64'), Silva (80'), Mehssatou (90+2')
Avenatti (90+9')
Magnee (56'), Keita (60'), Deom (90+11')
Paeshuyse (53'), Keita (67'), Slonina (90+9'), Kral (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Kortrijk
0-0
Eupen
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Eupen
0-1
Kortrijk

Davidson (14'), N'dri (49'), Christie-Davies (67'), Peeters (83'), Nuhu (90+3')
Mbayo (82')
Tanaka (2'), Lamkel Ze (33'), D'Haene (90+6')