Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg

Eupen
1 - 2
Charleroi

Bialek (86')
Baiye (33'), Kral (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bernier (11'), Dabbagh (41')
Camara (56')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Eupen
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Eupen
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
EupenDrawCharleroi
30.56% (0.042000000000002 0.04)26.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)42.73% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)54.28% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.67% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.03% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)25.15% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)59.87% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 30.56%
    Charleroi 42.73%
    Draw 26.71%
EupenDrawCharleroi
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.73%

How you voted: Eupen vs Charleroi

Eupen
30.0%
Draw
40.0%
Charleroi
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 3
Charleroi
1-0
Eupen
Heymans (14')
Bager (90+2')

Nuhu (18'), Andersen (36')
Jan 31, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 23
Charleroi
1-0
Eupen
Guiagon (66')
Rogelj (59')
Oct 28, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 12
Eupen
2-0
Charleroi
Kral (45'), Mohwald (54')
Keita (12'), Paeshuyse (89'), Magnee (90+1')

Knezevic (26'), Monticelli (76')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Eupen
1-2
Charleroi
Boris (42')
Nkuba (55'), Marcq (88')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Charleroi
3-1
Eupen
Zaroury (18'), Bessile (51'), Gholizadeh (90+4')
Andreou (45'), Koffi (90+3')
N'dri (76')
Deom (1')