Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.