Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.