Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.